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Punxsutawney Phil predicts weather as Groundhog Day tradition endures

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Annual Groundhog Day ceremony draws crowds in Pennsylvania

For over a century, the small town of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, has hosted a quirky tradition each February 2, where a groundhog named Phil is roused from his burrow to forecast the weather.

The legend behind the prediction

Local lore claims that if Phil casts a shadow upon emerging, winter will persist for six more weeks. If no shadow appears, an early spring is expected. The event, dating back to the late 1880s, has become a cultural staple, drawing spectators from across the country.

How accurate is Phil's forecast?

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) analyzed Phil's predictions over the past two decades and found his accuracy rate hovers around 35%. Despite the low reliability, the ceremony remains a lighthearted celebration.

What to expect this year

Thousands are expected to gather in Punxsutawney early Monday morning, braving the cold to witness Phil's emergence. The event will be livestreamed for global audiences, continuing a tradition that blends folklore with community spirit.

"Whether Phil sees his shadow or not, the day is about bringing people together," said a local organizer.

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