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Iran's World Cup future uncertain as Middle East tensions rise
The United States and Iran are locked in a deepening military confrontation just over three months before the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which the U.S. is co-hosting. Iran has qualified for the tournament, but its participation is now in question following recent airstrikes and political upheaval.
Iran's World Cup schedule and security concerns
Iran is set to play three group-stage matches: against New Zealand and Belgium in Los Angeles, and Egypt in Seattle. The country previously competed in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar despite anti-government protests and tensions with the U.S. However, the current conflict has raised new doubts.
Mehdi Taj, head of Iran's football federation, told Iranian television that participation is now unlikely due to the recent U.S. attacks. The situation is further complicated by the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, leaving Iran's political future uncertain.
"For Tehran, this is not a short 12-day war or a contained round of escalation that can be paused and reset. This new stage of conflict is existential and clearly about regime survival."
Dr. Sanam Vakil, Chatham House
FIFA's stance and potential replacements
FIFA has stated it is monitoring developments but expects Iran to participate. Secretary General Mattias Grafström emphasized the goal of a "safe World Cup with everybody participating." However, if Iran withdraws, FIFA could replace them with another Asian Football Confederation (AFC) team, such as Iraq or the UAE.
Meanwhile, Iran's women's team continues preparations for the Asia Cup in Australia, with the AFC offering support amid the crisis.
Security and political tensions
The U.S. has imposed travel restrictions on Iranian nationals, though World Cup players and staff are exempt. However, Iran previously threatened to boycott the tournament after some officials were denied visas. Security concerns are now heightened, particularly in Arizona, where Iran's team was set to train.
Los Angeles, home to a large Iranian diaspora, could see protests similar to those during the 2022 World Cup, where fans clashed over Iran's government. Nick McGeehan of FairSquare warned that Iran's withdrawal might be seen as a relief by FIFA to avoid unrest.
FIFA's relationship with Trump under scrutiny
FIFA's close ties with U.S. President Donald Trump are facing criticism after the organization awarded him its inaugural 'Peace Prize' in December. Trump was recognized for his role in brokering a ceasefire between Israel and Palestine, though the U.S. has since conducted military strikes in multiple countries, including Iran.
Trump's foreign policy has drawn condemnation, with 27 UK politicians calling for the U.S. to be expelled from international competitions. The German Football Association has also suggested a boycott of the 2026 World Cup.
FIFA maintains it must remain neutral on geopolitical issues, but critics argue the organization should strengthen its rules to address conflicts involving host nations.
World Cup preparations face challenges
The conflict coincides with warnings about "catastrophic" security risks if funding for the tournament remains frozen due to a U.S. government shutdown. Concerns also persist over the use of ICE officers at the event and cartel violence in co-host Mexico.
Despite the turmoil, FIFA President Gianni Infantino has shown no inclination to sanction the U.S., even as the World Cup's political complexities grow.
